!!! จับตาพายุลูกใหม่ ที่กำลังก่อตัว ณ ขณะนี้ !!!

หางมันยาวจริงๆ เจ้าเนสาด เนี่ยะ

 

เป็นไปได้นะ แล้วถ้ามันเป็นดีเพรสชั่น ฝนก็จะตกทั้งวันทั้งคืน เขื่อนก็เต็มๆ กันหมดแล้ว คงไปเพิ่มน้ำให้เขื่อนอีก :'(

 

<table style="FILTER: progidXImageTransform.Microsoft.Gradient(startColorStr=#C0FFFFCC, endColorStr=#10FFFFFF, gradientType=0)" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="98%"> <tbody><tr> <td class="c1" height="4" width="4">
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</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="3" style="BORDER-LEFT:gray 1px solid;BORDER-RIGHT:gray 1px solid;" align="center" width="100%"> [SIZE=+1]ประกาศเตือนภัย
"พายุหมุนเขตร้อน “ไห่ถาง”" [/SIZE]
ฉบับที่ 3 ลงวันที่ 26 กันยายน 2554
</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="3" style="PADDING: 10px; BORDER-LEFT:gray 1px solid;BORDER-RIGHT:gray 1px solid;" align="center" width="100%"> เมื่อเวลา 19.00 น. วันนี้ (26 ก.ย. 54) พายุโซนร้อน “ไห่ถาง” (Haitang) บริเวณทะเลจีนใต้ตอนกลาง มีศูนย์กลางอยู่ห่างประมาณ 250 กิโลเมตรทางตะวันออกของเมืองดานัง ประเทศเวียดนาม หรือที่ละติจูด 16.5 องศาเหนือ ลองจิจูด 110.0 องศาตะวันออก มีความเร็วลมสูงสุดใกล้ศูนย์กลางประมาณ 65 กิโลเมตรต่อชั่วโมง กำลังเคลื่อนตัวทางทิศตะวันตกอย่างช้าๆ คาดว่า พายุนี้จะเคลื่อนขึ้นฝั่งบริเวณเมืองดานัง ประเทศเวียดนามในคืนนี้ จากนั้นจะอ่อนกำลังลงเป็นลำดับ และจะเคลื่อนเข้าสู่ประเทศลาวและภาคตะวันออกเฉียงเหนือของประเทศไทยในวันที่ 27 กันยายน 2554 ลักษณะเช่นนี้ทำให้มรสุมตะวันตกเฉียงใต้ที่พัดปกคลุมบริเวณทะเลอันดามันและ อ่าวไทยมีกำลังแรงขึ้นทำให้บริเวณด้านตะวันออกและตอนล่างของ ภาคตะวันออกเฉียงเหนือ ภาคตะวันออก และภาคใต้ฝั่งตะวันตกมีฝนตกเป็นบริเวณกว้างและมีฝนตกหนักหลายพื้นที่ กับมีลมแรง จึงขอให้ประชาชนที่อาศัยในพื้นที่เสี่ยงภัยตามที่ลาดเชิงเขา ที่ราบลุ่ม และใกล้ทางน้ำไหลผ่าน ระมัดระวังอันตรายจากน้ำท่วมฉับพลันและน้ำป่าไหลหลากที่อาจเกิดขึ้น ดังนี้
วันที่ 27-28 กันยายน 2554 ในบริเวณจังหวัดมุกดาหาร ยโสธร อำนาจเจริญ อุบลราชธานี นครพนม ขอนแก่น ชัยภูมิ กาฬสินธุ์ มหาสารคาม ร้อยเอ็ด มุกดาหาร ยโสธร อำนาจเจริญ นครราชสีมา บุรีรัมย์ สุรินทร์ ศรีสะเกษ อุบลราชธานี ระยอง จันทบุรี ตราด ระนอง พังงา ภูเก็ต กระบี่ ตรัง และสตูล
สำหรับคลื่นลมในทะเลอันดามันและอ่าวไทยตอนบนจะมีกำลังแรง โดยมีคลื่นสูง 2-3 เมตร ชาวเรือควรเพิ่มความระมัดระวังในการเดินเรือ และเรือเล็กควรงดออกจากฝั่งในช่วงวันที่ 27- 29 กันยายน 2554

ประกาศ ณ วันที่ 26 กันยายน พ.ศ. 2554
ออกประกาศ เวลา 22.30 น.

สำนักพยากรณ์อากาศ กรมอุตุนิยมวิทยา
กระทรวงเทคโนโลยีสารสนเทศและการสื่อสาร
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<table cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="98%"><tbody><tr><tr><td colspan="3" style="PADDING: 10px; BORDER-LEFT:gray 1px solid;BORDER-RIGHT:gray 1px solid;" align="center" width="100%"> เมื่อเวลา 04.00 น. วันนี้ (27 ก.ย. 54) พายุโซนร้อน “ไห่ถาง” (Haitang) ได้เคลื่อนขึ้นชายฝั่งเมืองเว้ ประเทศเวียดนามและได้อ่อนกำลังลงเป็นพายุดีเปรสชันแล้ว มีศูนย์กลางที่ละติจูด 16.5 องศาเหนือ ลองจิจูด 107.5 องศาตะวันออก หรืออยู่ทางด้านตะวันออกของจังหวัดมุกดาหาร ประมาณ 300 กิโลเมตร มีความเร็วลมสูงสุดใกล้ศูนย์กลางประมาณ 55 กิโลเมตรต่อชั่วโมง กำลังเคลื่อนตัวทางทิศตะวันตกอย่างช้าๆ คาดว่า พายุนี้จะอ่อนกำลังลงอีกอย่างรวดเร็วเป็นหย่อมความกดอากาศต่ำและเคลื่อนสู่ ประเทศลาวและภาคตะวันออกเฉียงเหนือของประเทศไทยในวันนี้ (27ก.ย.54) ลักษณะเช่นนี้ทำให้มรสุมตะวันตกเฉียงใต้ที่พัดปกคลุมบริเวณทะเลอันดามันและ อ่าวไทยมีกำลังแรงขึ้นทำให้บริเวณด้านตะวันออกและตอนล่างของภาคตะวันออก เฉียงเหนือ ภาคตะวันออก และภาคใต้ฝั่งตะวันตกมีฝนตกเป็นบริเวณกว้างและมีฝนตกหนักหลายพื้นที่กับมีลม แรง จึงขอให้ประชาชนที่อาศัยในพื้นที่เสี่ยงภัยตามที่ลาดเชิงเขา ที่ราบลุ่มและใกล้ทางน้ำไหลผ่าน ระมัดระวังอันตรายจากน้ำท่วมฉับพลันและน้ำป่าไหลหลากที่อาจเกิดขึ้น ดังนี้
วันที่ 27-28 กันยายน 2554 ในบริเวณจังหวัดมุกดาหาร ยโสธร อำนาจเจริญ อุบลราชธานี นครพนม ขอนแก่น ชัยภูมิ กาฬสินธุ์ มหาสารคาม ร้อยเอ็ด นครราชสีมา บุรีรัมย์ สุรินทร์ ศรีสะเกษ อุบลราชธานี ระยอง จันทบุรี ตราด ระนอง พังงา ภูเก็ต กระบี่ ตรัง และสตูล
สำหรับคลื่นลมในทะเลอันดามันและอ่าวไทยตอนบนจะมีกำลังแรง โดยมีคลื่นสูง 2-3 เมตร ชาวเรือควรเพิ่มความระมัดระวังในการเดินเรือ และเรือเล็กควรงดออกจากฝั่งในช่วงวันที่ 27- 29 กันยายน 2554

ประกาศ ณ วันที่ 27 กันยายน พ.ศ. 2554
ออกประกาศ เวลา 04.30 น.



สำนักพยากรณ์อากาศ กรมอุตุนิยมวิทยา
กระทรวงเทคโนโลยีสารสนเทศและการสื่อสาร
</td></tr></tr></tbody></table>

 

พายุลูกใหม่ก่อตัวแล้ว 22W

 

Orange alert for Tropical Cyclone NESAT-11 for Philippines,China, Vietnam

<table width="100%"><tbody><tr><td valign="top">

Click for an interactive map
Legend: areas affected by winds of 39mph (green), 58mph (orange) and 74mph (red); shaded area is uncertainty cone of forecasted cyclone path.

Legend: areas affected by potential rainfall accumulation > 50mm/24hr (NASA TRMM real-time rainfall product). Rainfall > 90mm/24h are in red (source: NASA TRMM)
​

Alert level: orange for Philippines,China, Vietnam

This tropical cyclone can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the storm strength and the affected population in the past and forecasted path.
In particular Philippines,China, Vietnam are affected by high winds up to 194km/h (54 m/s or 120mph).
Current storm status

Analysis based on advisory number 16 for NESAT-11, published on 9/27/2011 06:00 UTC

• The storm is: active
• Current country: Philippines
• Current position: 119.79, 16.79
• Alert level at current position: orange
• Basin: NWPacific
• Current strength: Cyclone with Saffir Simpson category 2
• Current maximum sustained wind speed: 43 m/s, 85 kt

GDACS report created on 9/27/2011 12:38:04 PM.
For a more complete report, please go to GDACS impact assessment: Tropical cyclone alert.
</td></tr></tbody></table> Summary impact analysis

The following analysis considers the forecasted track from the current position and the area affected by winds of at least Category 1 (>119 km/h). For a report on the cyclone's impact along the whole track, please see the full report.
Affected Population (XML)
Up to 7.27 million people can be affected by wind speeds of hurricane strength or above. In addition, 1.15 million people are living in coastal areas below 5m and can therefore be affected by storm surge.
Affected Country (provinces) (population)
China (Hainan) (7266549), Vietnam (Ninh Binh) (855818), Vietnam (Nam Ha) (2643619), Vietnam (Thai Binh) (1813299), Philippines (Ilocos) (3551000).
Affected Cities
<table style="border-collapse:collapse;border:solid navy 1px"><tbody><tr><th style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" bgcolor="#7194B4">City Class (1 to 6)</th><th style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" bgcolor="#7194B4">Country</th><th style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" bgcolor="#7194B4">Province</th><th style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" bgcolor="#7194B4">Name</th><th style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" bgcolor="#7194B4">Distance (km)</th><th style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" bgcolor="#7194B4">Wind speed (km/h)</th><th style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" bgcolor="#7194B4">Estimated arrival time (UTC)</th></tr><tr bgcolor="white"><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">3</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">China</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">Hainan</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">Lingao</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">39</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">147</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">9/26/2011 04:45</td></tr><tr bgcolor="lightblue"><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">3</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">China</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">Hainan</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">Jinjiang</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">36</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">151</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">02:15</td></tr><tr bgcolor="white"><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">3</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">China</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">Hainan</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">Dingcheng</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">39</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">154</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">00:00</td></tr><tr bgcolor="lightblue"><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">3</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">China</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">Hainan</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">Wencheng</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">31</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">158</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">9/25/2011 21:30</td></tr><tr bgcolor="white"><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">3</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">China</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">Hainan</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">Jiaji</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">62</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">158</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">21:30</td></tr><tr bgcolor="lightblue"><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">3</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">Vietnam</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">Thai Binh</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">Thuan Nghiep</td></tr><tr bgcolor="white"><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">3</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">China</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">Hainan</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">Haikou</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">44</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">151</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">9/26/2011 02:15</td></tr></tbody></table>Affected Critical Infrastructures
No nuclear plants affected
Airports
<table style="border-collapse:collapse;border:solid navy 1px"><tbody><tr><th style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" bgcolor="#7194B4">Runway</th><th style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" bgcolor="#7194B4">Type</th><th style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" bgcolor="#7194B4">Country</th><th style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" bgcolor="#7194B4">IATA Code</th><th style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" bgcolor="#7194B4">Name</th><th style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" bgcolor="#7194B4">Distance (km)</th><th style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" bgcolor="#7194B4">Wind speed (km/h)</th><th style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" bgcolor="#7194B4">Estimated arrival time (UTC)</th></tr><tr bgcolor="white"><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">
</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">Local or private</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">China</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">
</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">Jtalaishi</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">29</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">147</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">9/26/2011 04:45</td></tr><tr bgcolor="lightblue"><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">Paved</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">Local or private</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">Philippines</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">SFE</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">San Fernando</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">60</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">154</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">9/23/2011 12:00</td></tr><tr bgcolor="white"><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">Paved</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">Local or private</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">China</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">
</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">Haikou</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">42</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">151</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">9/26/2011 02:15</td></tr><tr bgcolor="lightblue"><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">
</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">International</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">China</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">HAK</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">Meilan</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">47</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">154</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">00:00</td></tr></tbody></table>Ports
<table style="border-collapse:collapse;border:solid navy 1px"><tbody><tr><th style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" bgcolor="#7194B4">Country</th><th style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" bgcolor="#7194B4">Name</th><th style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" bgcolor="#7194B4">Distance (km)</th><th style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" bgcolor="#7194B4">Wind speed (km/h)</th><th style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" bgcolor="#7194B4">Estimated arrival time (UTC)</th></tr><tr bgcolor="white"><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">China</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">Haikou</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">44</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">151</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">9/26/2011 02:15</td></tr><tr bgcolor="lightblue"><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">Philippines</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">Poro / San Fernando</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">57</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">154</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">9/23/2011 12:00</td></tr><tr bgcolor="white"><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">Philippines</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">San Fernando</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">59</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">154</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">12:00</td></tr><tr bgcolor="lightblue"><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">Philippines</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">Bolinao</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">46</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">154</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">12:00</td></tr><tr bgcolor="white"><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">China</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">Lin Kao</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">40</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">147</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">9/26/2011 04:45</td></tr><tr bgcolor="lightblue"><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">China</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">Hsu Wen</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">45</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">151</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">02:15</td></tr></tbody></table>Dams
<table style="border-collapse:collapse;border:solid navy 1px"><tbody><tr><th style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" bgcolor="#7194B4">Volume</th><th style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" bgcolor="#7194B4">FIPS Country</th><th style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" bgcolor="#7194B4">River</th><th style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" bgcolor="#7194B4">Name</th><th style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" bgcolor="#7194B4">Distance (km)</th><th style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" bgcolor="#7194B4">Wind speed (km/h)</th><th style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" bgcolor="#7194B4">Estimated arrival time (UTC)</th></tr><tr bgcolor="white"><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">3</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">CH</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">Nandu He</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">
</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">49</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">147</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">9/26/2011 04:45</td></tr></tbody></table>

For more details on rainfall, please go to the full report on the GDACS website Logistics information

Below is a list of airports that are selected according to their suitability for cargo plane landing. The criteria considered are runway paving and length (source: Aircraft Charter World). Always check runway conditions beforehand.
For details on cargo facilities and other facilities of these airports, please check http://www.azworldairports.com. Click on the IATA code for details on airlines serving an airport.
Major airports (paved runways over 8000 feet) (Source: Aircraft Charter World, Global Discovery)
<table style="border-collapse:collapse;border:solid navy 1px"><tbody><tr><th style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" bgcolor="#7194B4">Runway length (ft)</th><th style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" bgcolor="#7194B4">IFR</th><th style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" bgcolor="#7194B4">Runway</th><th style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" bgcolor="#7194B4">Customs</th><th style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" bgcolor="#7194B4">Type</th><th style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" bgcolor="#7194B4">Country</th><th style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" bgcolor="#7194B4">Province</th><th style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" bgcolor="#7194B4">IATA Code</th><th style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" bgcolor="#7194B4">Name</th><th style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" bgcolor="#7194B4">Distance (km)</th></tr><tr bgcolor="white"><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">11800</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">Yes</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">Paved</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">Yes</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">Local or private</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">China</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">Hainan</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">
</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">Haikou</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">42</td></tr></tbody></table>No airports found nearby with paved runways between 8000 and 4000 feet (Source: Aircraft Charter World, Global Discovery)
Minor airports (paved and unpaved runways under 4000 feet) (Source: Aircraft Charter World, Global Discovery)
<table style="border-collapse:collapse;border:solid navy 1px"><tbody><tr><th style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" bgcolor="#7194B4">Runway length (ft)</th><th style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" bgcolor="#7194B4">IFR</th><th style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" bgcolor="#7194B4">Runway</th><th style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" bgcolor="#7194B4">Customs</th><th style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" bgcolor="#7194B4">Type</th><th style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" bgcolor="#7194B4">Country</th><th style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" bgcolor="#7194B4">Province</th><th style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" bgcolor="#7194B4">IATA Code</th><th style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" bgcolor="#7194B4">Name</th><th style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" bgcolor="#7194B4">Distance (km)</th></tr><tr bgcolor="white"><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">3900</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">No</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">Paved</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">
</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">Local or private</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">Philippines</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">
</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">SFE</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">San Fernando</td><td style="border-style:solid;border-width:1px" align="right">60</td></tr></tbody></table>
Disclaimer

While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information. The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
<table style="border-width:0px" border="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"> <tbody><tr><td style="border-style:none;border-width:medium" valign="top"> </td> <td style="border-style:none;border-width:medium" valign="top"> Information related to the track has been collected from official bulletins distributed by regional tropical cyclones monitoring authorities by the Pacific Disaster Center. The impact analysis is performed by the Joint Research Center of the European Commission.</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

for Tuesday, 27 September 2011 [6:55 PM PhT]



<hr noshade="noshade"><<<Typhoon2000.com Mobile >>>
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Powered by: Synermaxx Corporation<hr noshade="noshade">Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Monday Sep 26 2011):

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<hr noshade="noshade">NESAT (PEDRING) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 160 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 130 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 120 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 140 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 125 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 140 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 130 km/hr
:: Click here to see Multi-Agency Forecast Tracks <hr noshade="noshade">
TYPHOON NESAT [PEDRING/20W/1117]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 016
6:00 PM PhT (10:00 GMT) Tue 27 September 2011
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC TC Warning #016/SatFixes
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2011)<hr noshade="noshade"> Typhoon NESAT (PEDRING) moving quickly towards the west-northwest...now over the West Philippine Sea...expected to leave the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) Wednesday. Its rainbands continues to soak Luzon.

Meanwhile, another cyclone looms from the east. Although small, the system tagged as TD 22W is forecast to enter PAR Thursday.

Residents and visitors along Luzon should closely monitor the progress of NESAT (PEDRING).

Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.

CURRENT STORM INFORMATION

Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Tue September 27 2011
Location of Eye: 17.0º N Lat 119.0º E Lon
Distance 1: 145 km WNW of San Fernando City
Distance 2: 183 km WNW of Baguio City
Distance 3: 163 km WSW of Vigan City
Distance 4: 171 km NW of Dagupan City
Distance 5: 342 km NW of Metro Manila
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 160 kph (85 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 195 kph (105 kts)
Present Movement: WNW @ 30 kph (16 kts)
Towards: West Philippine Sea
24hr Rainfall Accum (near center): 400 mm (High)
Rainrate (near center): 25-30 mm/hr (Moderate)
Minimum Central Pressure: 959 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Category 2
Size (in Diameter): 965 km (520 nm) [Very Large]
Wind Area Distribution (in Knots): Current Wind Profile
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 26 ft
Possible Storm Surge Height: 6-8 ft [1.8-2.6 m]
T2K TrackMap (for Public): 6 PM PhT Tue Sep 27​

3-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK & ANALYSIS*

NESAT (PEDRING) will remain a "Straight-Runner" where it will maintain its WNW movement troughout the forecast period. On the forecast track, the core of the typhoon will continue to traverse the West Philippine Sea/South China Sea...leaving the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) Wednesday...and making landfall over Hainan Island on Friday.

Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) are near 160 km/hr (85 knots) with higher gusts. NESAT is a Category 2 Typhoon on the Saffir-Simpson Tropical Cyclone Scale. Re-strengthening of this system will be expected as it moves across the West Philippine Sea/South China Sea.

Typhoon Force Winds (118 km/hr or more) extend outward up to 75 kilometers (40 nautical miles) from the center...and Tropical Storm Force Winds (62-117 km/hr) extend outward up to 295 kilometers (160 nautical miles). NESAT is a very large-sized tropical cyclone with a diameter of 965 kilometers (520 nautical miles).

The following is the summary of the 3-day forecast outlook on this system:

WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON: Over the West Philippine Sea...regaining intensity as it moves oout of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) [2PM SEP 28: 17.9N 115.6E @ 165kph].
THURSDAY AFTERNOON: Slightly gaining strength as it approaches the coast of Hainan [2PM SEP 29: 19.1N 112.3E @ 175kph].
FRIDAY AFTERNOON: Moving into the Gulf of Tonkin after crossing Hainan Island...weakens to Category 1 [2PM SEP 30: 20.0 109.0E @ 140kph].

*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY

NESAT's (PEDRING) circulation remains intact & very large despite its land crossing...now over the West Philippine Sea. Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas:

CLOUD-FILLED EYE - over water (West Philippine Sea). Possible calm and lull conditions (with <20 kph winds) will be expected inside the eye (click here to know more about the EYE).
EYEWALL - over water (West Philippine Sea). Typhoon Conditions with Typhoon Force Winds (>118 kph) will be expected within this wall (click here to know more about the Eyewall).
INNER RAINBANDS - affecting & spreading across Pangasinan, La Union, Benguet, & Ilocos Provinces. Tropical Storm Conditions w/ Tropical Storm Force Winds (62-117 kph) will be expected along these bands.
OUTER RAINBANDS - affecting & spreading across the whole of Luzon including Metro Manila, Mindoro, Calamian Group, Northern Visayas, & Northern Bicol. Tropical Depression Conditions w/ moderate to strong winds (25-61 kph) will be expected along these bands (click here to know more about Rainbands).
24HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 250 mm (low to high rainfall) can be expected along areas affected by the outer & inner rainbands (see above)...with isolated amounts of 251 to 400 mm (high) along areas near the center of NESAT (PEDRING). (click to open NOAA's eTRaP graphic).
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING - possible 6-8 ft [1.8-2.6 m] above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves can be expected along the coastal and beach front areas of Western Luzon. Moderate damage is likely on this type of storm surge. Danger from Rip Currents or Rip Tides can be expected along the beach-front areas of Luzon & Visayas. (click here to know more about Storm Surge).

CURRENT SW MONSOON INTENSITY: STRONG >> Mostly cloudy skies with passing occasional showers, rains or thunderstorms w/ squalls will be expected across the following affected areas: REST OF VISAYAS, SOUTHERN LUZON, BICOL REGION, & PALAWAN. Moderate to strong SW'ly winds (not in excess of 75 kph) will blow across the abovementioned areas.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!


<hr noshade="noshade"> PAGASA Philippine Storm Warnings Signals PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNAL # THREE (3)
In Effect: ILOCOS SUR, LA UNION, BENGUET, & PANGASINAN.
PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # TWO (2)
In Effect: ILOCOS NORTE, ABRA, APAYAO, KALINGA, MT. PROVINCE, IFUGAO, NUEVA VIZCAYA, NUEVA ECIJA, TARLAC, & ZAMBALES.
The above areas will continue to experience stormy weather tonight (with winds not exceeding 100 kph for #02 and 100-185 kph for #03). Coastal waters will be rough to very rough and extremely dangerous to all types of seacrafts.
PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # ONE (1)
In Effect: METRO MANILA, CAGAYAN, BABUYAN & CALAYAN GROUP OF ISLANDS, ISABELA, QUIRINO, AURORA, BULACAN, PAMPANGA, & BATAAN.
The above areas will have rains and winds of not more than 60 kph tonight. Coastal waters will be moderate to rough.

Residents living in low-lying and mountainous areas under Public Storm Warning Signals are alerted against flashfloods, mudslides and landslides...while those living in coastal & beach-front areas are advised to seek higher grounds due to possible storm surge (aka. big waves).


<hr noshade="noshade"> External Links for TY NESAT (PEDRING)

PAGASA@Twitter: Hourly Updates
View NOAA-CIRA's: Latest Full Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp2011.gif
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: Near Real-Time
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 5 Days Ahead
JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate (in mm/hr)
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop

[FONT=Arial][FONT=Verdana][SIZE=1] [/SIZE][/FONT][/FONT]______________________________<wbr>______________________________<wbr>_________________

TYPHOON2000 CURRENT STORMTRACK:



​

​

__________________________

 

for Wednesday, 28 September 2011 [7:45 AM PhT]



<hr noshade="noshade"><<<Typhoon2000.com Mobile >>>
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For more details: Text T2K TYPHOON to
2800 (Globe/TM) | 216 (Smart/TNT) | 2288 (Sun)
*Only P2.50 (Smart/Globe) / P2.00 (Sun) per msg received.
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Powered by: Synermaxx Corporation<hr noshade="noshade">Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Monday Sep 26 2011):

Please be informed that due to power interruptions caused by PEDRING's strong winds, T2K updates will be delayed from time to time. Kindly bear with me. Thank you ~ MVP. Meanwhile, T2K 3-hrly updates ends...back to its 6-hrly updates on web, email, & android (iTyphoon) (except 12:00 Midnight).
<hr noshade="noshade">NESAT (PEDRING) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 140 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 120 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 120 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 145 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 125 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 140 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 130 km/hr
:: Click here to see Multi-Agency Forecast Tracks <hr noshade="noshade">
TYPHOON NESAT [PEDRING/20W/1117]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 017
6:00 AM PhT (22:00 GMT) Wed 28 September 2011
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC TC Warning #018/SatFixes
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2011)<hr noshade="noshade"> Typhoon NESAT (PEDRING) weakens to Category 1 as it moves WNW farther away from Luzon. Its rainbands continues to bring rains and gusty winds across Western Luzon.

Meanwhile, the small TD over the Western Pacific is now named NALGAE and is forecast to enter PAR Thursday.

Residents and visitors along Southern China particularly Hainan should closely monitor the progress of NESAT (PEDRING).

Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.

CURRENT STORM INFORMATION

Time/Date: 6:00 AM PhT Wed September 28 2011
Location of Eye: 17.5º N Lat 117.1º E Lon
Distance 1: 350 km West of Vigan City
Distance 2: 355 km WNW of San Fernando City
Distance 3: 378 km WSW of Laoag City
Distance 4: 392 km WNW of Baguio City
Distance 5: 527 km NW of Metro Manila
Distance 6: 604 km SE of Hong Kong
Distance 7: 638 km SE of Macau
Distance 8: 716 km ESE of Hainan, China
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 140 kph (75 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 165 kph (90 kts)
Present Movement: WNW @ 20 kph (11 kts)
Towards: West Philippine Sea
24hr Rainfall Accum (near center): 400 mm (High)
Rainrate (near center): 20-30 mm/hr (Moderate)
Minimum Central Pressure: 967 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Category 1
Size (in Diameter): 1,110 km (600 nm) [Very Large]
Wind Area Distribution (in Knots): Current Wind Profile
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 26 ft
Possible Storm Surge Height: 4-5 ft [1.2-1.7 m]
T2K TrackMap (for Public): 6 AM PhT Wed Sep 28​

3-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK & ANALYSIS*

NESAT (PEDRING) will continue to move generally west-northwest throughout the forecast period. On the forecast track, the core of the typhoon will continue to traverse the West Philippine Sea/South China Sea...leaving the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) today...and making landfall over Hainan Island Thursday evening or early Friday. NESAT will eventually move into the Gulf of Tonkin as a downgraded Tropical Storm...and make its last landfall over Northern Vietnam early Saturday.

Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) are near 140 km/hr (75 knots) with higher gusts. NESAT is a Category 1 Typhoon on the Saffir-Simpson Tropical Cyclone Scale. Re-strengthening of this system will be expected as it moves across the West Philippine Sea/South China Sea.

Typhoon Force Winds (118 km/hr or more) extend outward up to 75 kilometers (40 nautical miles) from the center...and Tropical Storm Force Winds (62-117 km/hr) extend outward up to 295 kilometers (160 nautical miles). NESAT is a very large-sized tropical cyclone with a diameter of 1,100 kilometers (600 nautical miles).

The following is the summary of the 3-day forecast outlook on this system:

THURSDAY EARLY MORNING: Maintains its WNW track across the South China Sea...intensifying as it approaches Hainan Island [2AM SEP 29: 18.7N 113.7E @ 150kph].
FRIDAY EARLY MORNING: Over the northern part of Hainan...weakens slightly [2AM SEP 30: 19.8N 110.0E @ 140kph].
SATURDAY EARLY MORNING: Downgraded to a Tropical Storm as it makes landfall along the shores of Northern Vietnam [2AM OCT 01: 20.3 106.8E @ 110kph].

*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY

NESAT's (PEDRING) circulation remains intact & very large with little development, however its central convection has become somewhat loose. Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas:

CLOUD-FILLED EYE - over water (West Philippine Sea). Possible calm and lull conditions (with <20 kph winds) will be expected inside the eye (click here to know more about the EYE).
EYEWALL - over water (West Philippine Sea). Typhoon Conditions with Typhoon Force Winds (>118 kph) will be expected within this wall (click here to know more about the Eyewall).
INNER RAINBANDS - over water (West Philippine Sea)...no effects to land. Tropical Storm Conditions w/ Tropical Storm Force Winds (62-117 kph) will be expected along these bands.
OUTER RAINBANDS - affecting & spreading across Western Luzon. Tropical Depression Conditions w/ moderate to strong winds (25-61 kph) will be expected along these bands (click here to know more about Rainbands).
24HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 250 mm (low to high rainfall) can be expected along areas affected by the outer & inner rainbands (see above)...with isolated amounts of 251 to 400 mm (high) along areas near the center of NESAT (PEDRING). (click to open NOAA's eTRaP graphic).
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING - possible 4-5 ft [1.2-1.7 m] above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves can be expected along the coastal and beach front areas of Western Luzon. Minimal damage is likely on this type of storm surge. Danger from Rip Currents or Rip Tides can be expected along the beach-front areas of Luzon & Visayas. (click here to know more about Storm Surge).

CURRENT SW MONSOON INTENSITY: STRONG >> Mostly cloudy skies with passing occasional showers, rains or thunderstorms w/ squalls will be expected across the following affected areas: WESTERN VISAYAS, SOUTHERN TAGALOG PROVINCES, MINDORO, METRO MANILA & PALAWAN. Moderate to strong SW'ly winds (not in excess of 75 kph) will blow across the abovementioned areas.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!


<hr noshade="noshade"> PAGASA Philippine Storm Warnings Signals PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # TWO (2)
In Effect: ZAMBALES, LA UNION & PANGASINAN.
The above areas will continue to experience stormy weather today (with winds not exceeding 100 kph for #02 and 100-185 kph for #03). Coastal waters will be rough to very rough and extremely dangerous to all types of seacrafts.
PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # ONE (1)
In Effect: BATAAN, PAMPANGA, BENGUET, TARLAC, ILOCOS SUR, ABRA, & ILOCOS.
The above areas will have rains and winds of not more than 60 kph tonight. Coastal waters will be moderate to rough.

Residents living in low-lying and mountainous areas under Public Storm Warning Signals are alerted against flashfloods, mudslides and landslides...while those living in coastal & beach-front areas are advised to seek higher grounds due to possible storm surge (aka. big waves).


<hr noshade="noshade"> External Links for TY NESAT (PEDRING)

PAGASA@Twitter: Hourly Updates
View NOAA-CIRA's: Latest Full Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp2011.gif
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: Near Real-Time
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 5 Days Ahead
JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate (in mm/hr)
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop

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TYPHOON2000 CURRENT STORMTRACK:



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ดูลูกศรมันชี้มาทางไทยหมดเลยอีกแล้ว

 

for Wednesday, 28 September 2011 [12:45 PM PhT]



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Powered by: Synermaxx Corporation<hr noshade="noshade">Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Wednesday Sep 28 2011):

Currently issuing 6-hrly web, email, & android (iTyphoon) updates (except 12:00 Midnight) on NESAT (PEDRING).
<hr noshade="noshade">NESAT (PEDRING) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 130 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 120 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 130 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 145 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 125 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 140 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 130 km/hr
:: Click here to see Multi-Agency Forecast Tracks <hr noshade="noshade">
TYPHOON NESAT [PEDRING/20W/1117]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 018
12:00 PM PhT (04:00 GMT) Wed 28 September 2011
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC TC Warning #019/SatFixes
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2011)<hr noshade="noshade"> The large Typhoon NESAT (PEDRING) weakens slightly as it continues to move farther away from Luzon. The west coast of Luzon is still under the broad effects of its outer rain bands.

Meanwhile, NALGAE has strengthened into a Tropical Storm as it drifts slowly towards the North Philippine Sea...forecast to enter PAR tomorrow.

Residents and visitors along Southern China particularly Hainan should closely monitor the progress of NESAT (PEDRING).

Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.

CURRENT STORM INFORMATION

Time/Date: 12:00 PM PhT Wed September 28 2011
Location of Eye: 17.3º N Lat 116.2º E Lon
Distance 1: 447 km West of Vigan City
Distance 2: 477 km WSW of Laoag City
Distance 3: 443 km WNW of San Fernando City
Distance 4: 457 km NW of Dagupan City
Distance 5: 479 km WNW of Baguio City
Distance 6: 584 km SSE of Hong Kong
Distance 7: 604 km NW of Metro Manila
Distance 8: 609 km SSE of Macau
Distance 9: 631 km SE of Hainan Is.
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 130 kph (70 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 160 kph (85 kts)
Present Movement: West @ 20 kph (11 kts)
Towards: Hainan-Northern Vietnam
12-18hr Rainfall Accum (near center): 230 mm (High)
Rainrate (near center): 20-30 mm/hr (Moderate)
Minimum Central Pressure: 970 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Category 1
Size (in Diameter): 1,110 km (600 nm) [Very Large]
Wind Area Distribution (in Knots): Current Wind Profile
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 24 ft
Possible Storm Surge Height: 4-5 ft [1.2-1.7 m]
T2K Final TrackMap (for Public): 8 AM PhT Wed Sep 28​

3-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK & ANALYSIS*

NESAT (PEDRING) will continue to move generally west-northwest throughout the forecast period. On the forecast track, the core of the typhoon will leave the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) this afternoon...and making landfall over Hainan Island Thursday evening. NESAT will move across the Gulf of Tonkin and make its final landfall over Northern Vietnam near Hanoi on Saturday.

Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) have decreased to near 130 km/hr (70 knots) with higher gusts. NESAT is a Category 1 Typhoon on the Saffir-Simpson Tropical Cyclone Scale. Re-strengthening of NESAT will be expected during the next 24 hours.

Typhoon Force Winds (118 km/hr or more) extend outward up to 45 kilometers (25 nautical miles) from the center...and Tropical Storm Force Winds (62-117 km/hr) extend outward up to 305 kilometers (165 nautical miles). NESAT remains a very large-sized tropical cyclone with a diameter of 1,100 kilometers (600 nautical miles).

The following is the summary of the 3-day forecast outlook on this system:

THURSDAY MORNING: Intensifying as it approaches Hainan Island [8AM SEP 29: 19.0N 112.6E @ 150kph].
FRIDAY MORNING: Over the northwestern coast of Hainan...weakens slightly [8AM SEP 30: 20.0N 109.2E @ 120kph].
SATURDAY MORNING: Downgraded to a Tropical Storm as it makes landfall over Northern Vietnam...about 38 km SE of Hanoi City [8AM OCT 01: 20.8 106.1E @ 85kph].

*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY

NESAT's (PEDRING) circulation remains intact & very large with little development, however its central convection has become somewhat loose. Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas:

CLOUD-FILLED EYE - over water (West Philippine Sea). Possible calm and lull conditions (with <20 kph winds) will be expected inside the eye (click here to know more about the EYE).
EYEWALL - over water (West Philippine Sea). Typhoon Conditions with Typhoon Force Winds (>118 kph) will be expected within this wall (click here to know more about the Eyewall).
INNER RAINBANDS - over water (West Philippine Sea)...no effects to land. Tropical Storm Conditions w/ Tropical Storm Force Winds (62-117 kph) will be expected along these bands.
OUTER RAINBANDS - affecting & spreading across Western Luzon...and will reach the coast of Hainan Island and Western Guangdong tonight. Tropical Depression Conditions w/ moderate to strong winds (25-61 kph) will be expected along these bands (click here to know more about Rainbands).
12-18HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 75 mm (low to high rainfall) can be expected along areas affected by the outer & inner rainbands (see above)...with isolated amounts of 76 to 250 mm (high) along areas near the center of NESAT (PEDRING). (click to open NOAA's eTRaP graphic).
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING - possible 4-5 ft [1.2-1.7 m] above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves can be expected along the coastal and beach front areas of Western Luzon. Minimal damage is likely on this type of storm surge. Danger from Rip Currents or Rip Tides can be expected along the beach-front areas of Luzon & Visayas. (click here to know more about Storm Surge).

CURRENT SW MONSOON INTENSITY: STRONG >> Mostly cloudy skies with passing occasional showers, rains or thunderstorms w/ squalls will be expected across the following affected areas: WESTERN VISAYAS, SOUTHERN TAGALOG PROVINCES, BORACAY, MINDORO, METRO MANILA, WESTERN BICOL & PALAWAN. Moderate to strong SW'ly winds (not in excess of 75 kph) will blow across the abovementioned areas.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!


<hr noshade="noshade"> PAGASA Philippine Storm Warnings Signals PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # ONE (1)
In Effect: ZAMBALES, LA UNION & PANGASINAN.
The above areas will have rains and winds of not more than 60 kph today. Coastal waters will be moderate to rough.

Residents living in low-lying and mountainous areas under Public Storm Warning Signals are alerted against flashfloods, mudslides and landslides...while those living in coastal & beach-front areas are advised to seek higher grounds due to possible storm surge (aka. big waves).


<hr noshade="noshade"> External Links for TY NESAT (PEDRING)

PAGASA@Twitter: Hourly Updates
View NOAA-CIRA's: Latest Full Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp2011.gif
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: Near Real-Time
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 5 Days Ahead
JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate (in mm/hr)
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop

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TYPHOON2000 FINAL STORMTRACK:



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Orange alert for Tropical Cyclone NESAT-11 for Philippines,Vietnam, Laos, China

<table width="100%"><tbody><tr><td valign="top">

Click for an interactive map
Legend: areas affected by winds of 39mph (green), 58mph (orange) and 74mph (red); shaded area is uncertainty cone of forecasted cyclone path.

Legend: areas affected by winds of 39mph (green), 58mph (orange) and 74mph (red); blue area is heavy rainfall >100mm/24hr (source: eTRaP)

Legend: areas affected by potential rainfall accumulation > 50mm/24hr (NASA TRMM real-time rainfall product). Rainfall > 90mm/24h are in red (source: NASA TRMM)
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Alert level: orange for Philippines,Vietnam, Laos, China

This tropical cyclone can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the storm strength and the affected population in the past and forecasted path.
In particular Philippines,Vietnam, Laos, China are affected by high winds up to 194km/h (54 m/s or 120mph).
Current storm status

Analysis based on advisory number 22 for NESAT-11, published on 9/28/2011 18:00 UTC

• The storm is: active
• Current country: China
• Current position: 113.79, 18.39
• Alert level at current position: orange
• Basin: NWPacific
• Current strength: Cyclone with Saffir Simpson category 1
• Current maximum sustained wind speed: 33 m/s, 65 kt

GDACS report created on 9/28/2011 11:41:42 PM.
For a more complete report, please go to http://www.gdacs.org/reports.<wbr>asp?eventType=TC&ID=26116&<wbr>system=asgard&new=true.
</td></tr></tbody></table> Summary impact analysis

The following analysis considers the forecasted track from the current position and the area affected by winds of at least Category 1 (>119 km/h). For a report on the cyclone's impact along the whole track, please see the full report.
No population affected by Category I wind strengths (>74 mph).

For more details on rainfall, please go to the full report on the GDACS website Logistics information

Below is a list of airports that are selected according to their suitability for cargo plane landing. The criteria considered are runway paving and length (source: Aircraft Charter World). Always check runway conditions beforehand.
For details on cargo facilities and other facilities of these airports, please check http://www.azworldairports.com<wbr>. Click on the IATA code for details on airlines serving an airport.
No airports found nearby with paved runways over 8000 feet (Source: Aircraft Charter World, Global Discovery)
No airports found nearby with paved runways between 8000 and 4000 feet (Source: Aircraft Charter World, Global Discovery)

Disclaimer

While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information. The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
<table style="border-width:0px" border="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"><tbody><tr><td style="border-style:none;border-width:medium" nowrap="nowrap" valign="top"> </td> <td style="border-style:none;border-width:medium" valign="top"> Information related to the track has been collected from official bulletins distributed by regional tropical cyclones monitoring authorities by the Pacific Disaster Center. The impact analysis is performed by the Joint Research Center of the European Commission.</td></tr></tbody></table>